Showing posts with label Bernanke. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Bernanke. Show all posts

Wednesday, July 13, 2011

Bernanke: Fed would deliver more stimulus if necessary

WASHINGTON (AP) — saying reserve Federal Chairman Ben Bernanke on Wednesday that the central bank is prepared to give a further boost to the economic lull persists.

That his twice-a-year economic report to Congress, Bernanke three options would consider that the central bank. One possibility, he said, was another of Treasury bond buying. It would make the third such effort since 2009.

Fed Chief insurance helped drive share prices higher, but it also highlighted the fragile state of the economy for more than two years after economists said the recession had ended. Unemployment has risen for three straight months and a debt crisis in Greece and other European countries are likely to weaken the global economy.

Bernanke warned U.S. regulators that their failure to raise its borrowing limit by Aug. 2 may trigger a major financial crisis. He said that the Government defaults on its debt, would throw the "shockwaves through the entire financial system".

Bernanke says more stimulus would only be necessary if economic conditions worsened and deflation was resurrected as a threat. Deflation is a destabilizing period of falling prices.

He also said that the Fed was nimble to react if the opposite happened. He said the Fed was ready to raise interest rates that were at record lows for nearly three years, the central bank fears a greater risk of inflation.

"We have to keep all options on the table," Bernanke told the House Financial Services Committee on the first of two days of Capitol Hill testimony. "If we come to the point where recovery is fragile" and inflation drops to zero, so the central bank would consider further incentive options, "he said.

The Dow Jones industrial average rose more than 93 points during afternoon trade. Broader indexes also rose.

In addition to buy government bonds, "said Bernanke the Fed could help the economy by:

— Cutting the interest paid to banks on the reserves they hold as a way to encourage them to lend more.

— Communicating more clearly seen how long it plans to keep rates at record low levels. It would give investors confidence that Fed efforts to continue to support the economy.

The Fed last month agreed to wind up the timetable of its programme to stimulate the economy through purchases of 600 billion dollars in Treasury bonds. But the central bank also acknowledged that the economy had slowed in the first half of the year. The result is lowered its economic growth forecast for 2011 and said unemployment would be less than 8.6% this year.

Since then, the Government reported a second straight month of gloomy rental in June. Economy to just 18,000 jobs last month, the fewest in nine months. Unemployment increased to 9.2% – the highest rate in years.

Companies withdrew heavily on rental after adding an average of 215,000 jobs per month from February to April. Economy often need to add 125 000 jobs per month just to keep pace with population growth. And at least twice that many jobs needed to reduce unemployment.

The Fed has said that temporary factors, such as high gas prices and supply chain disruptions caused by the crisis, Japan is jointly responsible for sluggish.

Bernanke says Fed believe Congress should facilitate these obstacles during the second half of the year. But if the forecast shows the error, he said that the Fed is prepared to do more.

"The possibility remains that the recent economic weakness may prove to be more persistent than expected and that deflationary risks can be revived, which implies a need for further political support," said Bernanke.

Economists noted that Bernanke was careful to balance the possibility for further Fed stimulus with the possibility that inflation could become a problem.

Paul Ashworth, U.S. Chief Economist at capital economics, said the Fed would likely agree on further steps unless deflation emerges as a threat again. Ashworth said a decision would not come until next year.

"The Fed to wait and see if the reduction in economic growth was due to temporary factors and if inflation falls back," said Ashworth.

The Fed started his final round of bond purchase by deflation worries increased. Bond purchase programme was Fed the second round of "quantitative easing". It is a term that economists used a tool the Fed can be used to bring down long-term interest rates by buying Government bonds.

The topic of new incentive was raised at the June meeting where Fed policymakers agreed to terminate the last programme. Some members said the Fed should be open to further action on growth failed to pick up enough to "meaningful" reducing unemployment, according to the minutes of the meeting of June 21-22.

Others expressed concern about inflation and said that the central bank would need to take measures to begin removing its low-interest rate policy sooner than currently anticipated. "

The Protocol selected, a division of Fed officials are most concerned that the economy is growing too slowly, including Bernanke, and some regional bank presidents who are concerned that the Feds policy could trigger high inflation.

Bernanke spoke to minority concerns in his testimony. He said that the central bank would be prepared to begin to raise interest rates more quickly than currently contemplated, if prices do not decline.

The Fed has kept its main interest rate at record low close to zero since December 2008. Most private economists believe the Fed will not start to raise interest rates until next summer. And some say that the Fed won't increase up to 2013, based on the slumping economy.

Wall Street rises on Bernanke comments policy

NEW YORK (Reuters)-Wall Street stocks increased from a three-day selloff on Wednesday as comments from Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke raised hopes of further stimulating the U.S. economy if necessary.

Feds earlier stimulus effort, known as the QE2, had helped the stock market to make progress with 600 billion dollars in bond purchases, which added liquidity in the economy and contributed to low interest rates.

"The possibility remains that the recent economic weakness may prove to be more persistent than expected and that deflationary risks can reemerge, implying a need for further political support," said Bernanke House Financial Services Committee.

<.vix>, CBOE volatility Index, Wall Street fear gauge, fell 7.6% to 18.37 after comments. In the last three days, VIX climbed almost 25% while the S & P 500 lost about 2.3 percent, pressured by weak results and concerns over the EU'sdebt crisis.

"The last round of quantitative easing was strictly for the benefit of inventory, and profits today, the Outlook for what is potentially a further boost, says John Kosar, research team leader at Asbury research in Chicago."But the fact that we also discuss another round, shows how the economy is still struggling. "

His comments came as investors were divided over whether the Fed would introduce another round of incentives to stimulate the economy, especially after the June security dismal jobs report. The Fed's "easy money" policy since 2008 is fueling stock market rally.

<.dji> Dow Jones industrial average was 124.27 points or 1.00 percent, at 12, 571.15. Standard & Poor <.spx> 's 500 Index was up 13.55 points, or 1.03%, at 1, 327.19. The Nasdaq Composite Index <.ixic> was up 33.64 credits, or 1.21 percent, at 2, 815.55.

Energy and materials stocks were the top winners. S & P <.gspe> energy sector index shot up 1.5 percent, while August crude futures gained 1.2%, a drop of the dollar. S & P <.gspm> materials sector index increased 1.6 percent. Baker Hughes Inc was one of the top energy sector winner, will increase 3.7 percent to $ 75.14.

Wall Street got an early boost from overseas data that showed China's economy grew faster than expected during the second quarter.

But it was still cautious over developments in Europe. Moody's downgraded Ireland's debt to junk late on Tuesday and said Ireland was likely to follow Greece in need a second operation. Irish bond yields jumped to record highs.

"Bernanke helps today to layers, but given everything else on the table, I would imagine that the market in a short time will return to focus on issues of European and U.S. budget deal soon," said Dan Ripp, Chairman of Bradley Woods and co. Ltd., New York.

News Corp shares jumped 4.6% to $ 16.06 and was Nasdaq most active stock after announcing it had withdrawn a bid of 12 billion dollars to buy 61 percent of the broadcaster BSkyB it does not already own.

News Corp is in the center of allegations that one of its tabloid newspapers committed criminal acts.

Electronic Arts Inc, computer game publisher, buys PopCap Games in some worth up to $ 1.3 billion that it is trying to ramp up its social and casual games portfolio. Shares of the Electronic Arts throw 0.4% to $ 24(10).

(Reporting by Ryan Vlastelica, editing by Kenneth Barry)

Bernanke: Fed would deliver more stimulus if necessary

WASHINGTON (AP) — saying reserve Federal Chairman Ben Bernanke on Wednesday that the central bank is prepared to give a further boost if the current economic lull persists.

That his twice-a-year economic report to Congress, Bernanke three options would consider that the central bank. One possibility, he said, was another of Treasury bond buying. It would make the third such effort since 2009.

Bernanke indicated that the Fed would only take such action if economic conditions worsened and deflation was resurrected as a threat. Deflation is a destabilizing period of falling prices.

He also said that the Fed was nimble to react if the opposite happened. He said the Fed was ready to raise interest rates that were at record lows for nearly three years, the central bank fears a greater risk of inflation.

"We have to keep all options on the table," Bernanke told the House Financial Services Committee on the first of two days of Capitol Hill testimony. "If we come to the point where recovery is fragile" and inflation drops to zero, so the central bank would consider further incentive options, "he said.

Stocks jumped after Bernanke signaled that the Fed will to take additional measures to boost the sluggish economy. The Dow Jones industrial average rose more than 145 points, or 1.2%, at noon trade. Broader indexes also rose.

In reply to a question about Congress debate on raising the limit borrowing, Bernanke warned that failure to adopt within the time limit that August would trigger a wider financial crisis. He said that the Government defaults on its debt, would throw the "shockwaves through the entire financial system".

The Government reached its limit for borrowing in may, the Finance Ministry has said that Government displays by default on its debt limit not raised by Aug. 2.

The Fed last month agreed to wind up the timetable of its programme to stimulate the economy through purchases of 600 billion dollars in Treasury bonds. But the central bank admitted that the economy had slowed in the first half of the year. The result is lowered its economic growth forecast for 2011 and said unemployment would be less than 8.6% this year.

Since that meeting, the Government reported a second straight month in June and gloomy letting unemployment increased to 9.2% – the highest rate in years.

The Fed has said that temporary factors, such as high gas prices and supply chain disruptions caused by the crisis, Japan is jointly responsible for sluggish.

Bernanke says Fed believe Congress should facilitate these obstacles during the second half of the year. But if the forecast shows the error, he said that the Fed is prepared to do more.

"The possibility remains that the recent economic weakness may prove to be more persistent than expected and that deflationary risks can be revived, which implies a need for further political support," said Bernanke.

Economists noted that Bernanke was careful to balance the possibility for further Fed stimulus with the possibility that inflation could become a problem.

Paul Ashworth, U.S. Chief Economist at capital economics, said the Fed would likely agree on further steps unless deflation emerges as a threat again. Ashworth said a decision would not come until next year.

"The Fed to wait and see if the reduction in economic growth was due to temporary factors and if inflation falls back," said Ashworth.

The Fed started his final round of bond purchase by deflation worries increased. Bond-buying program, which ended in June, it was Fed the second round of "quantitative easing". It is a term that economists used a tool the Fed can be used to bring down long-term interest rates by buying Government bonds.

The topic of new incentive was raised at the June meeting where Fed policymakers agreed to terminate the last programme. Some members said the Fed should be open to further action on growth failed to pick up enough to "meaningful" reducing unemployment, according to the minutes of the meeting of June 21-22.

Others expressed concern about inflation and said that the central bank would need to take measures to begin removing its low-interest rate policy sooner than currently anticipated. "

The Protocol selected, a division of Fed officials are most concerned that the economy is growing too slowly, including Bernanke, and some regional bank presidents who are concerned that the Feds policy could trigger high inflation.

Bernanke spoke to minority concerns in his testimony. He said that the central bank would be prepared to begin to raise interest rates more quickly than currently contemplated, if prices do not decline.

The Fed has kept its main interest rate at record low close to zero since December 2008. Most private economists believe the Fed will not start to raise interest rates until next summer. And some say that the Fed won't increase up to 2013, based on the slumping economy.

Bernanke confirmation when the Government released a dismal jobs report last week.

Economy to just 18,000 jobs last month, the fewest in nine months. The may figures were revised downwards and to show only 25,000 jobs added — fewer than half of what was reported from the beginning.

Companies withdrew heavily on rental after adding an average of 215,000 jobs per month from February to April. Economy often need to add 125 000 jobs per month just to keep pace with population growth. And at least twice that many jobs needed to reduce unemployment.

Stocks jump as Bernanke Details possible incentive

NEW YORK (AP) — Stocks jumping as Federal Reserve Chairman stories methods that the central bank can act to stimulate the economy if the threat of deflation, or falling prices, come back.

Bernankes comments were a far cry from a real promise for more economic stimulus, but markets reacted immediately anyway. The Dow Jones industrial average nearly doubled its morning gains in ten minutes and the dollar and U.S. Government bond prices fell as investors throw lower risk assets.

Standard & poor's 500 rose 15 points, or 1.1 percent, to 1,329 at midday trade Wednesday. The Dow rose 133 points, or 1.1%, to 12,580. The Nasdaq composite rose 39, or 1.4 percent, to 2,821.

In testimony presented before the Congress that the Fed Bernanke options would consider if the economy does not improve.

Bernanke stimulus comments increase world markets

LONDON (AP) — gave hope that the Federal Reserve could provide new economic incentive stock a much-needed boost Wednesday, a day after markets were shaken by fears that Europe's debt crisis spread to large economies such as Italy.

Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke says the U.S. central bank is prepared to give a further boost if the current economic lull persists. A report to Congress, he stated that monetary policy was likely to remain Loose for the foreseeable future as labor market improvements is weak.

His comments were not a promise of more economic stimulus, investors were encouraged by the idea that the Fed would not allow the world's largest economy slow down too quickly, without offering more support.

Which helped market sentiment, which had been supported by data from China shows its economy grew by 9.5 percent for the quarter April-June. Although this is lower than the previous quarter 9.7% growth rate, it alleviates concerns about a sharp slowdown and gives Beijing room checks to combat inflation.

The Chinese Government has tried to tame their economy – the world's second largest — where inflation hit a three-year high in June. Beijing has electronic interest rates five times since October and tighter control of the lending and investment.

"Today's data should allay fears that the economy is on its way to a hard landing," said Mark Williams, senior China Economist, capital Economics.

The news helped to calm investors ' nerves after days of volatile trading, particularly in Europe, where concerns grew that the debt crisis would infect core countries such as Italy, the euro area's third largest economy.

Investors were spooked by EU governments to agree on a second rescue package for Greece and their requirements to get the banks to help rescue packages being enforced at, even at the price of a debt default.

Uncertainty that left markets feared worst — shares, bonds and the euro fell dramatically. Italian bond markets seized and its stock main index swung wildly. Prices stabilized only after the Italian Government said it would accelerate approval of its austerity plan and increase its size.

Strengthened by the news, brushed markets outside a downgrade of Ireland's bonds to junk status ratings agency Moody's on Tuesday. The Agency said it sees a growing risk that country needs a second bailout in its current crisis package expires at the end of 2013.

Analysts said the report was not a shock after Moody's had downgraded Portugal a week earlier, much of the same reasons.

Recovery was strongest in Milan, where the main index rallied to close higher 1.8% and Italian bond yields edged down further. Britain's FTSE 100 rose 0.6% to 5, 906.43, while Germany DAX gained 1.3 percentage points to 7, and France's CAC 267.87 was 0.5% in the 3, 793.27.

Shares in British Sky Broadcasting closed 2 percent higher in London after News Corp pulled its takeover offer for the company in the vocal opposition in the U.K. Parliament. Stock nedsjunkna was originally on the announcement but then claims that long-term investors bought into what had become a relatively cheap stocks.

In the United States Advanced Wall Street with the Dow Jones up 1.2% to 12, 595.26, while the S & P 1.2 per cent higher at 1, 329.83.

The euro rallied 1.4% to $ 1.4177 by late afternoon in Europe, while the dollar was down 0.5% at 78.96 yen.

In Asia, index mostly closed higher thanks to strong growth as Chinese data.

Hong Kong's Hang Seng index added 1.2 percent to 21, 926.88, Shanghai Composite index increased 0.5% to 2, 768.21 and South Korea's Kospi rises 0.9 percentage points at 2, 129.64.

Japan's Nikkei 225 stock average ended up 0.4% at 9, 963.14 after the yen withdrawn from its highest level against the US dollar since mid March earlier in the day.

After the dollar fell below the level which 79-yen, described Japanese Finance Minister Yoshihiko Noda move as "somewhat one-sided." His comment sparked speculation that Japan may intervene in the foreign exchange market.

Australia's S & P/ASX 200 rose 0.4% to 4, 514.80, while New Zealand's benchmark slipped 0.2% to EUR3, 424.35.

Oil prices rose above $ 98 a barrel after a report showed U.S. crude supplies increased unexpectedly last week, suggesting demand is weak.

Benchmark oil for August delivery was up $ 1.05 to $ 98.48 per barrel in electronic trading on the New York Mercantile Exchange. Crude oil was $ 2.28 to settle for $ 97.43 on Tuesday.

___

Tomoko a. Hosaka in Tokyo contributed to this report.

Bernanke ' willing to respond "If economy deteriorates

WASHINGTON (Reuters)-Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke said on Wednesday the central bank is ready to ease monetary policy further if the economy weakens and inflation moves down, including policy makers actively considering additional stimulus.

While you are in a view that the recent economic softness would eventually pass, he appeared less sure of this projection--and more willing to consider the possibility of another round of stimulus.

"The possibility remains that the recent economic weakness may prove to be more persistent than expected and that deflationary risks can reemerge, implying a need for further political support," says Bernanke's House of Representatives Committee of the United States for financial services.

Bernanke indicated Fed forecasts for June, which has already been adjusted down significantly from April, had not been incorporated in current data, in particular last Friday's disappointing employment report. It showed job growth essentially ground to a halt in May and June, while the jobless rate up to 9.2%.

U.S. stocks, which have taken a drubbing over the past week on fear EU debt worries and concerns about the Economic Outlook U.S., gathered 1.2%, while the Treasury bond prices and the dollar went.

Asked whether the Fed would be willing to initiate another bond purchase program if the economy slumps, Bernanke said: "we have to keep all options on the table. We do not know where the economy should go. "

Pressed on the budget, Bernanke reiterated his warning that failure to raise U.S. debt ceiling would be a serious blow to the global economic recovery.

"Cut programs or raise taxes in a way that will reduce aggregate demand ... will adversely affect the economy," he said.

Minutes from Feds June meeting, released Tuesday, showed some policy makers believe that the Fed should be ready to give more support to industry on recovery, rekindling the threat of a debilitating downward spiral in prices and wages.

Others in setting Federal Open Market Committee, thought, however, inflation risks may force the central bank to withdraw stimulus sooner than currently anticipated.

DOOR OPEN For QE3

Some investors still, given the change in harmony, games more dovish members of the Committee would prevail in the pursuit of a third round of quantitative easing if the economy continues to deteriorate.

-My first reaction was "here we come QE3," says Jack Ablin, chief investment officer Harris Private Bank in Chicago. "We suspect that the Fed would come with some sort of QE3 in the light of the disruption that surrounds the sovereign debt markets."

Bernanke failed in detail when it comes to Europe, but Fed Chief outlook on U.S. growth prospects was understandably cautious.

After recovering from the steepest recession in generations from Summer 2009, the U.S. economy lost momentum in recent months. Gross domestic product expanded only 1.9 percent during the first three months of the year and second quarter looks to have been much better.

Bernanke is held to the view that the recent weakness was partly due to temporary factors such as high energy costs and the effects on global industry from Japan's earthquake and tsunami.

But he conceded the labour market is still weaker than the Fed wants.

"The latest data shows that the continued weakness in the labour market," Bernanke said.

Bernanke defended the second round of bond purchases against critics who said it would have been ineffective.

He said Fed estimates round two of quantitative easing, or QE2, reduced long term interest rates of between 0.1 and 0.3 percentage point, Bernanke said would be roughly equivalent to 0.40 to 1.20 percentage points fall below the level of federal funds, that is currently set in a range between zero and 0.25%.

As regards inflation, Bernanke reiterated the recent rise in prices was mainly linked to transient factors such as higher energy and commodity prices and the trend should back down.